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We were just discussing that topic a week or two ago here:
http://siliconangle.com/ver2/2009/07/28/why-is-...
http://wordpress.org/extend/themes/p2
What I think about are my highschool friends who are not programmers like I am, who follow me and their friends because they're on facebook. Facebook enables them to easily follow friends and update their friends. How do they enter the system? I see them as still being facebook and my self-hosted platform posting to facebook. They will then continue to see my posts. Same with twitter.
I think there means to do this exist, the biggest obstacle will be that experience hurdle, how to overcome discovery, how to make it easy to follow, how to make sure there's a trail of trust to make sure that spammers can't impersonate, how to make sure that conversation threads maintain their integrity with respect to time and participants. We need some designers weighing in on this.
Not everyone in this scenario needs to be a WP admin. I think that the setup would look a lot like the communities we have set up around blogs and info portals now - Blog writers / editors could function as the administrators of the system, and with a FidoNet / Federated style set up, the larger public timeline can pass through their systems.
In essence, the users would only need to know where their favorite network node was - and the geekier folks in the crowd would worry about the headache of running the local 'chapter of the network.'
Again, looking forward to your posts on these issues.
FidoNet :) I remember how pleasant it felt to hear my 1200 baud modem automatically call at midnight into the next city to synch my bbs' fidonet messages.
The problem I see is one of subscriptions. How does the federation and sharing between sites work? How do I have a central view of data that is in a cloud form? The reason I like FriendFeed so much is the interface makes it easy for me to see and converse with other people. Having to jump between sites and interfaces to do that is a pain in the ass, and kills the utility of such a system.
My head is a bit too cloudy to properly formulate my thoughts on this. I originally considered DB2DB syndication of the actual posts in everyone WP installation, but...
Buddypress activity streams, with syndicated summaries, leapt out at me as I was crawling thru the MU codex. For the most part, the Buddypress activity stream keeps track of all activity on an MU website. That activity stream could be synchronized to a central server (or set of servers) for re-use on all in-network systems.
Still, I don't quite grasp BP yet, so I'm hesitant to use it. It looks like it's trying to be a local version of Facebook or something.
Kidding aside, you hit the nail on the head with this, "I’m tired of constantly re-entering all of my information and accounts into services I start to care about, evangelize for, and enjoy only to have them radically changed either by cultural shifts, sales, closures or policy changes." We all KNOW FriendFeed is now doomed, and yet we all run like Lemmings to the next solution... which will last a year or so.
The folks at Automattic are really smart. They have made very few mistakes so far, but have taken advantage of every opportunity. You're right. They are positioned very well indeed.
Basic concept is that in the age of the prototype (or permanent beta), we have a responsibility to manage our brand effectively across the open web.
Part of that responsibility is having full control and not give too much to one particular tool that is in the hands of others. Or another way of looking at that is, why should a particular hot destination get all the financial benefits from me using it and I get nothing in return.
Look at Winer's thoughts on Scoble and his lack of even getting a hat-tip for his Friendfeed evangelism.
As so, when you say Wordpress(.org) could be the successor, I get it and agree...for those at the bleeding edge.
My question is then. What's out there for the average punter?
It's not ready to be the successor today as it stands - down the road, though, it's positioned to take up the mantle, particularly if the federated aspects of the activity stream on the BP side come into fruition...
... particularly considering that as far as geeky and complex systems go, it's pretty low maintenance, and as far as general user experiences go, it's the simplest thing in the world to leave a comment and interact with a blog.
i was looking at this earlier today - by the metrics that FF, FB, and Twitter judge themselves by, Wordpress.com knocks their dicks in the dirt completely, with over a billion unique users: http://en.wordpress.com/stats/
Something to ponder.
The attraction of a new social media built on the backbone of Buddy Press/ Wordpress comes from its independance. Its confederation. Let you be your server and just appear on other peoples sites. But if they go down, you are fine. Opera have this idea with their server in a browser. Of course it means you are always on, or you have an agent who is. A social media server rather than a webserver.
Jesse's comment about trust misses a vital issue, FB like Google seeks to know lots about you and has more of your personal data. Twitter does not.